WASHINGTON — Violent crime in the
United States rose for the second
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year in a row, a government report said
Thursday, indicating that the nation's two-decade decline in crime has ended.
The 2012 National Crime
Victimization Survey by the Bureau of Justice Statistics found that 26 of every
1,000 people experienced violent crime, a 15% increase in how many people
reported being victims of rape, robbery or assault. Property crime — burglary,
theft and car theft — rose 12%.
"We've plateaued. At this
point, I don't think we're going to see any more decreases in crime," said
criminologist James Alan Fox of Northeastern University in Boston. "The
challenge will be making sure crime rates don't go back up."
Even so, after two decades of
falling crime rates, violent crime remains at historically low levels. Crime
rates have dropped steadily since 1993, when 80 of every 1,000 people reported
being victims of violent crime. The homicide rate declined 48% from 1993 to
2011.
Keeping more criminals behind bars
longer and developing better crime-fighting technology helped drive down crime
rates, Fox said.
"Going back 20 years or more,
policing was done blindly," Fox said. "Now, due to technology, police
can be much more proactive in dealing with crime problems before they get out
of hand."
The report follows the FBI's 2012
Uniform Crime Report, released in September, which documented more than 1.2
million violent crimes nationwide — about 1% more than in 2011. For 2011, data
from the victims survey also showed an increase in violent crime: up 17% from
2010, the sharpest rise in two decades.
The victimization survey, which
collects data from 162,940 people over age 12, found that 26 of every 1,000
people were victims of crime in 2012, up from 23 in 2011. Most of the increase
is made up of simple assaults and crimes that were not reported to police. That
information is not included in the Uniform Crime Report, which is considered
the definitive measure of crime in the United States.
Taken together, the figures
indicate a slight shift in direction, said James Lynch, chairman of the University
of Maryland's criminology and criminal justice department.
"It's not exactly a crime
wave. It's more like a flattening out," Lynch said. "I don't see this
as terribly alarming, but more as something to pay attention to."
The data found that about 70% of
the violent crimes were simple assault. Since the survey involves interviewing
victims, homicide is not included. The domestic violence rate held steady, the
survey found.
Budget cuts may lead to more
increases if policing is cut, Fox said.
"You don't solve the crime
problem. You only control it," he said. "When you let up on the gas,
bad things will happen. This plateauing and inching up a bit is just a warning
to us that we have to keep on investing in
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crime prevention and crime control."
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